What
Makes Jurors Tick?
The Expanding Role of Jury Consultants
by Howard Varinsky
Arizona Attorney
April 1992
In its early years, the field of jury consulting was viewed with
skepticism by many trial attorneys. Since then, the profession has
gained recognition and legitimacy to the point where today, most
major cases have consultants working for both sides. This article
explores briefly the growth of the field and explains some of the
major techniques commonly used by consultants around the country.
A
Brief History
The
field of jury consultation had its birth in the political trials
of the late ‘60s and early ‘70s. At the time, activists
from a number of social science disciplines volunteered their
expertise to defense counsel and found that their contributions
often meant the difference between winning and losing.
The Harrisburg
7 trial provides an excellent example. In this case, which received
a great deal of national media attention, Rev. Philip Berrigan
and six co-defendants were accused of conspiring to commit a variety
of felonies, including the kidnap of Henry Kissinger, who was
then Secretary of State under Richard Nixon.
Volunteers
assisting the defense conducted a community attitude survey, which
found, to no one’s surprise, that a majority of Harrisburg,
Pennsylvania citizens were convinced the defendants were guilty.
The survey, however, was also instrumental in identifying favorable
and unfavorable juror characteristics. It found that the ideal
juror would be female, Democrat, have a strong belief in the presumption
of innocence, have no religious preference, and be politically
tolerant. The worst jurors were those having completely opposite
characteristics.
Jury selection
took three weeks, after which the prosecution put on 64 witnesses.
Surprisingly, rather than present evidence, the defense chose
to rest its case. They believed the prosecution had not proved
their case and felt confident that the jurors, who were chosen
according to the survey results, would come to the same conclusion,
which they ultimately did.
As for jury
selection, some of the early consultants experimented with such
esoteric techniques as personology (the "science" of
face reading), observation of body language and tendencies toward
conforming to authority and societal norms. In one of the early
Ford Pinto trials, for example, the jury consultant used personology
and selected jurors based on the characteristics of their facial
features, bone structure and musculature.
In recent
years, however, jury consultants have dismissed such esoteric
methods as ineffective and, instead, have developed an interdisciplinary
method of systematic analysis that employs social science research,
communications theory, and the psychological study of juror motivation
and behavior.
Since the
‘70s, the services jury consultants provide have expanded
from jury selection, surveys and venue studies to include focus
groups and mock trials, sophisticated attitude polling, witness
preparation, communication techniques and training, shadow juries
and post-verdict interviews.
Many consultants
also assist attorneys on enhancing the presentation and impact
of opening statements and closing arguments, collaborate on preparing
witnesses for deposition testimony, and work with litigation artists
to produce courtroom graphics that persuade and foster retention.
Focus
Groups
What
an x-ray is to a surgeon or radar is to an airline pilot, a focus
group is to a trial attorney. For years, major manufacturers,
advertisers and even political campaigns have used focus groups
to measure public reaction to their products before taking them
to the marketplace.
In much the
same way, trial attorneys are increasingly using focus groups
to test-drive their trial strategies and gauge juror reaction
to key witnesses. Focus groups are also used to find out what
a case is worth and to obtain information that helps in deciding
whether to settle or go to trial.
Although
focus groups can be conducted in a variety of formats, they usually
consist of eight to fourteen people chosen to approximate a typical
jury in a particular trial venue. At the focus group, attorneys
summarize evidence and argue the case from both sides, after which
instructions are read and the jurors go into deliberations. These
deliberations are observed by the attorneys and consultant and
videotaped for future analysis.
After deliberations,
participants are debriefed as to the rationale for their decisions
and their reactions to any witnesses, live or on videotape, who
testified. Most importantly, this phase provides the opportunity
for the attorneys and consultant to talk at length with the jurors
who voted against them to find out what they would need in terms
of evidence, theme or argument to change their votes.
The results
of a focus group should provide a trial attorney with a road map
of his upcoming trial, including a diagnosis of case problems,
identification of unanticipated juror concerns, and very often,
their remedies¾ before going to trial.
A good example
is a recent product liability case in which a worker lost three
fingers when he inserted his hand into a machine he thought was
turned off.
The plaintiff’s
attorney had planned to argue that the manufacturer was liable
because the machine had no red warning light to indicate that
it was turned on or emergency shut-off switch on the side of the
machine where the accident took place. The focus group found this
argument unpersuasive because an emergency switch was located
within arm’s reach and the machine made sufficient noise
and movement to give notice to any reasonably alert person that
it was running.
However,
many of the participants believed the most persuasive liability
arguments was the paucity of safety information in the instruction
manual. Based on this information, which was confirmed by a second
focus group conducted one week later, the plaintiff’s attorney
adjusted his strategy and ultimately prevailed at trial.
Witness
Preparation
Cases
can be won or lost on the basis of witness testimony, since witnesses
are the vehicles through which most evidence is presented to a
jury. Witnesses who communicate poorly or who display anxiety,
defensiveness or negative personality traits can undermine an
otherwise strong case.
Why do jurors
believe one witness over another? Our experience shows that since
jurors are not experts or percipient witnesses, they make up their
minds based on their perceptions of the witnesses and how they
testify.
Jurors decide
which witnesses to believe based on what we term a witness’s
"aura of credibility," which breaks down into six components:
self-confidence, relaxation, mastery of the material, communication
skills, emblematic congruence and character trait projection.
The first
four components are self-explanatory. "Emblematic congruence"
is the image¾ conscious or unconscious¾ that comes
to mind when we refer to specific occupations or types of people.
For instance, when we say librarian, construction worker or academic,
similar or universal images come to people’s minds. If a
witness does not fit this universal image, his credibility diminishes.
"Character
trait projection" refers to the primary trait or personality
characteristics a witness must project to complement, enhance
and reinforce his verbal testimony on the stand¾ for example,
being alert, trustworthy, savvy or detail-oriented.
Each of the
six components can be taught or enhanced by a skilled professional
using short-term behavior modification, communication theory and
video feedback techniques.
Take the
recent bad faith case where teaching the key witness to project
personal characteristics congruent with the content of his testimony
made a big difference in the outcome of a trial. The key witness,
a claims adjuster, was by nature passive, laid back and soft-spoken.
The dispute
in question turned on whether the adjuster should have inspected
the electrical wiring located three floors below the floor of
an office building where a small office fire had occurred. The
defense contended that the adjuster had no reason to inspect the
wiring since the fire was contained to one office and had not
traveled to the floors below.
In this particular
case, the key characteristics the claims adjuster needed to project
were his alertness and eye for detail. To be credible as a sharp
investigator, he had to be articulate and project a sense of alertness,
certainty and authority to the jury. Unfortunately, his laid-back
personality style conveyed the opposite impression.
Working with
the team of trial attorney and consultant, the claims adjuster
learned his lessons well. At trial, he was alert, articulate and
effective on the stand¾ which caused the plaintiff to cave
in and settle the case for a much lower figure than he had originally
planned.
Community
Attitude Surveys
If
a case involves inflammatory or divisive issues, has engendered
media publicity, or involves a client well-known to the community,
a community attitude survey can provide a tremendous amount of
useful information. Attitude surveys are used to measure community
sentiment and to identify how various segments of the community
view a particular case. They also provide an opportunity to test
several themes and theories, so attorneys can get a preview of
community reaction to possible case strategies.
Each survey
instrument is individually and case-specifically designed, and
a random sample of at least 300 respondents are contacted by telephone.
Trained observers gather demographic data, discuss case issues
and present a brief synopsis of both sides. The respondents are
then asked which story they most believed and which factors were
most persuasive.
The results
are fed into a computer, cross-tabulated and analyzed to determine
how people think about different issues and to develop a list
of favorable and unfavorable juror characteristics for later use
in jury selection.
A community
attitude survey played and important role in the outcome of former
Arizona Governor Evan Mecham’s criminal trial for non-disclosure
of campaign funds, which was held after his impeachment.
Since everyone
knew it was unlikely that an all-Republican jury would be impaneled,
it was imperative for defense counsel to be able to identify which
types of Democrats would not be biased against the former governor.
A community
attitude survey was conducted to measure reactions to adverse
publicity, attitudes toward Mecham’s impeachment by the
Arizona Senate, and feelings about the ex-governor himself. The
results of the survey indicated that a very large percentage of
male Democrats over the age of 55 would not be negatively inclined
toward Mecham or affected by the tremendous amount of adverse
publicity he received.
The jurors,
selected according to the survey results, ultimately voted to
acquit Mecham of all charges.
Pre-Trial
Juror Questionnaires
The
challenge of voir dire is getting to know each juror as intimately
and thoroughly as possible in a very short time. In recent years
many states have placed limitations on attorney-conducted voir
dire, thus making it even more difficult for trial lawyers to
obtain enough information to make intelligent use of their peremptory
challenges. Pre-trial juror questionnaires, once infrequently
used, are now gaining wide acceptance in courts throughout the
nation. Many judges have been approving jury questionnaires because
they expedite voir dire, therefore saving valuable time and money
by eliminating the need to repeat the same questions to each prospective
juror.
Additionally,
experience indicates that pre-trial juror questionnaires produce
significantly more honest responses than are obtained from oral
voir dire alone. Peer pressure, the perception of the judge as
an authority figure and the instinctive need to be accepted make
perspective jurors less candid when sharing their personal views
in open court than they are when answering questions in complete
privacy.
This privacy
is essential when probing sensitive or controversial issues¾
for example, any personal or family history with alcohol or drug
abuse, attitude toward homosexuality, or experience with molestation
or rape. Additionally, the responses are more honest because the
perspective jurors cannot be influenced or contaminated by other
people’s answers, as they are in open court.
Typical questionnaires
cover all standard demographic areas¾ age, education, marital
status, personal and occupational history, plus experiences and
attitudes specific to a particular case. The completed questionnaires
are evaluated and ranked, and specific issues are identified that
need further exploration in oral voir dire.
Post-Verdict
Interviews
Trial
attorneys, whose professional credibility and reputations ultimately
depend on their courtroom effectiveness, can benefit greatly from
the results of post-verdict interviews.
Like any
advertising or marketing campaign, courtroom results very often
depend on how well the trial attorney is in tune with his audience.
The post-trial interview is the best way to find out what each
juror really thought about the performance and effectiveness of
the attorneys, litigants and witnesses, as well as the case itself.
With the
results of these interviews, trial attorneys can form general
guidelines and "rules" on how juries function. This
data can be applied to future case strategies and increase the
effectiveness of how attorneys conduct every aspect of a trial¾
from voir dire, opening statement and persuasive use of graphics
through order of witnesses, witness performance and closing argument.
During the
interview, case-specific questions are asked along with other
questions necessary to arrive at a comprehensive understanding
of the jurors’ trial experience. The following questions
are a sample of those included in every interview:
Why did
you vote the way you did?
Which opening statement seemed more logical and convincing to
you? Why?
Which side did the judge seem to favor? What made you feel this
way?
Which attorney did you like best and least? Why?
What was the turning point in the case for you?
How were decisions reached in the jury room?
In summary, the use of sophisticated jury consulting techniques,
now standard practice in major litigation, has changed the playing
field in trial preparation. Given the stakes in large cases, trial
attorneys these days can ill afford to walk into court vulnerable
to an opponent who has gained a significant advantage from survey
results, focus group insights and witness preparation aided by
professionals skilled in communication and persuasion techniques.
In short, like it or not, jury consultants have become an integral
part of the modern trial team.
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